Viendo archivo del martes, 12 octubre 2010
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2010 Oct 12 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 285 Publicado el 2200Z a las 12 Oct 2010IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 11-2100Z hasta 12-2100Z Solar activity remained at very low levels. No flares
were detected. Region 1112 (S19E26) was quiet and stable. No new
regions were assigned.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low through the period (13 - 15 October).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 11-2100Z a 12-2100Z
The geomagnetic field decreased to quiet to unsettled levels as it
recovered from yesterdays CME-driven disturbance. ACE solar wind
measurements indicated velocities were variable and ranged from 364
to 453 km/s. IMF Bz was weakly southward during most of the period
(maximum deflection -7 nT at 12/0037Z) while IMF Bt gradually
decreased from 7 nT to 5 nT as the period progressed.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
Geomagnetic field activity is
expected to be at mostly quiet levels during the period (13 - 15
October).
III. Probabilidades del evento 13 Oct a 15 Oct
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 12 Oct 075 Previsto 13 Oct-15 Oct 076/076/076 Media de 90 Días 12 Oct 080
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 11 Oct 010/020 Estimado Afr/Ap 12 Oct 008/012 Previsto Afr/Ap 13 Oct-15 Oct 005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 13 Oct a 15 Oct
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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