Viendo archivo del sábado, 9 octubre 2010
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2010 Oct 09 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 282 Publicado el 2200Z a las 09 Oct 2010IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 08-2100Z hasta 09-2100Z Solar activity was at very low levels. New Region 1112
(S18E65) was numbered during the period.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be at
predominately very low levels with a slight chance for C-class
activity for the next three days (10 - 12 October).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 08-2100Z a 09-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet for day one (10 October). By day two (11
October), activity is expected to increase to quiet to unsettled
levels, with isolated active periods at high latitudes. The increase
in activity is due to a small, geoeffective coronal hole high speed
stream coupled with glancing blow effects from the 06 October
full-halo CME. Day three (12 October) will see a return to mostly
quiet conditions.
III. Probabilidades del evento 10 Oct a 12 Oct
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 09 Oct 076 Previsto 10 Oct-12 Oct 078/078/080 Media de 90 Días 09 Oct 081
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 08 Oct 003/004 Estimado Afr/Ap 09 Oct 003/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 10 Oct-12 Oct 005/005-010/010-005/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 10 Oct a 12 Oct
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 25% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 05% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 30% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 10% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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