Viendo archivo del viernes, 8 octubre 2010
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2010 Oct 08 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 281 Publicado el 2200Z a las 08 Oct 2010IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 07-2100Z hasta 08-2100Z Solar activity was very low. A few B-class events were
observed originating on the east limb near S24 in the vicinity of
old returning Region 1106 (S22, L-217).
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to remain
at very low levels for the next three days (09 - 11 October).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 07-2100Z a 08-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at mostly quiet levels.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be mostly quiet for days one and two (09 - 10 October).
By day three (11 October), geomagnetic activity is expected to
increase to quiet to unsettled levels, with isolated active periods
at high latitudes. The forecasted increase in activity is due to a
geoeffective coronal hole high speed stream coupled with a possible
glancing blow from the 06 October full-halo CME.
III. Probabilidades del evento 09 Oct a 11 Oct
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 08 Oct 075 Previsto 09 Oct-11 Oct 076/078/078 Media de 90 Días 08 Oct 081
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 07 Oct 002/004 Estimado Afr/Ap 08 Oct 002/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 09 Oct-11 Oct 005/005-005/005-010/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 09 Oct a 11 Oct
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 15% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 20% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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