Viendo archivo del jueves, 22 julio 2010
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2010 Jul 22 2236 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 203 Publicado el 2200Z a las 22 Jul 2010IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 21-2100Z hasta 22-2100Z Solar activity was very low. Todays activity consisted
of occasional mid-level and upper level B-class flares. Most of
these were from Region 1089 (S23E33) although Region 1087 (N18,
rotated beyond west limb) also contributed. Activity appeared to be
on a general decreasing trend during the last few hours of the
period. Region 1089 appeared to be simplifying somewhat and showed a
slight decline in overall sunspot area.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low for the next three days (23-25 July).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 21-2100Z a 22-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be unsettled for the next two days (23-24 July). The
increase is expected due to a favorably positioned coronal hole.
Quiet to unsettled levels are expected for 25 July.
III. Probabilidades del evento 23 Jul a 25 Jul
| Clase M | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 22 Jul 088 Previsto 23 Jul-25 Jul 088/088/088 Media de 90 Días 22 Jul 075
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 21 Jul 003/005 Estimado Afr/Ap 22 Jul 005/007 Previsto Afr/Ap 23 Jul-25 Jul 010/010-010/010-007/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 23 Jul a 25 Jul
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 25% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 15% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
All times in UTC
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