Viendo archivo del miércoles, 21 julio 2010
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2010 Jul 21 2201 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 202 Publicado el 2200Z a las 21 Jul 2010IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 20-2100Z hasta 21-2100Z Solar activity was very low. Todays activity consisted
of numerous B-class events from Region 1087 (N18W85) and Region 1089
(S24E46). The largest events were a B8 at 1437Z from 1087 and a B8
at 1851Z From Region 1089. There has been a general increase in
background solar flux levels. Region 1089 grew steadily during the
past 24 hours and is a moderate sized D-type sunspot group.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low,
with a slight chance for an isolated M-class event from Region 1089.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 20-2100Z a 21-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet. A solar sector boundary was observed
at the ACE spacecraft around 0200Z as the interplanetary magnetic
field transitioned from a negative (inward) orientation to a
positive (outward) orientation.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled for the first day (22 July) and
predominantly unsettled for the second and third days (23-24 July).
The increase is expected as a response to a favorably positioned
coronal hole.
III. Probabilidades del evento 22 Jul a 24 Jul
| Clase M | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 21 Jul 089 Previsto 22 Jul-24 Jul 090/090/090 Media de 90 Días 21 Jul 075
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 20 Jul 003/005 Estimado Afr/Ap 21 Jul 005/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 22 Jul-24 Jul 007/007-010/010-010/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 22 Jul a 24 Jul
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 05% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 05% | 05% |
All times in UTC
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