Viendo archivo del sábado, 29 mayo 2010
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2010 May 29 2201 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 149 Publicado el 2200Z a las 29 May 2010IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 28-2100Z hasta 29-2100Z Solar activity was very low. Three new regions were
numbered today as Region 1073 (N13E35), 1074 (N19W57), and 1075
(S20W02). All three regions are a beta magnetic classification. No
flares were observed during the period.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low with a slight chance for a C-class flare.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 28-2100Z a 29-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to minor storm conditions.
Observations from the ACE spacecraft showed solar wind speeds
averaging around 350 km/s, however there was an eight hour period of
southward Bz of -13 nT. The increase in activity is probably the
result of the CME observed on 24 May.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be unsettled to active with isolated minor storm
conditions for 30-31 May due to a recurrent coronal hole high speed
stream. Quiet to unsettled levels are expected for 01 June as the
high speed stream subsides.
III. Probabilidades del evento 30 May a 01 Jun
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 29 May 073 Previsto 30 May-01 Jun 074/075/075 Media de 90 Días 29 May 078
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 28 May 007/010 Estimado Afr/Ap 29 May 020/035 Previsto Afr/Ap 30 May-01 Jun 020/035-012/030-008/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 30 May a 01 Jun
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 40% | 30% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 10% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 50% | 35% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 15% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 05% | 01% |
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