Viendo archivo del miércoles, 12 mayo 2010
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2010 May 12 2146 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 132 Publicado el 2200Z a las 12 May 2010IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 11-2100Z hasta 12-2100Z Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past
24 hours. Two low level B-class flares were observed. The visible
disk remained spotless.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to remain
at very low levels.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 11-2100Z a 12-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the
past 24 hours. Solar wind data from ACE indicate the continuation of
a high speed solar wind stream with a peak velocity of 500 km/s at
12/0740 UTC. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous
orbit reached high levels.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to remain at quiet to unsettled levels with isolated active
periods for the next two days (13-14 May). This elevated activity is
due to a series of coronal hole high-speed streams moving into
geoeffective positions. On day three (15 May), quiet levels are
expected as the effects of these high speed solar wind streams
subside.
III. Probabilidades del evento 13 May a 15 May
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 12 May 071 Previsto 13 May-15 May 071/070/070 Media de 90 Días 12 May 081
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 11 May 006/008 Estimado Afr/Ap 12 May 007/010 Previsto Afr/Ap 13 May-15 May 008/008-008/008-008/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 13 May a 15 May
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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