Viendo archivo del jueves, 15 abril 2010
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2010 Apr 15 2201 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 105 Publicado el 2200Z a las 15 Apr 2010IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 14-2100Z hasta 15-2100Z Solar activity was very low. No flares were observed
during the last 24 hours. The visible disk is spotless.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low for the next three days (16-18 April).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 14-2100Z a 15-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was mostly quiet with isolated active to minor
storm periods from 14/21-15/03Z due to recurrent coronal hole high
speed stream effects. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at
geosynchronous orbit briefly reached high levels.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to remain quiet for day one (16 April). Mostly quiet to
unsettled levels are expected for days two and three (17-18 April),
with possible isolated active periods at high latitudes on day three
(18 April). Increased activity levels are due to effects from the
CME observed on 13 April. .
III. Probabilidades del evento 16 Apr a 18 Apr
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 15 Apr 075 Previsto 16 Apr-18 Apr 075/077/078 Media de 90 Días 15 Apr 082
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 14 Apr 008/009 Estimado Afr/Ap 15 Apr 008/010 Previsto Afr/Ap 16 Apr-18 Apr 005/005-007/007-008/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 16 Apr a 18 Apr
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 05% | 25% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 05% | 30% | 35% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 05% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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