Viendo archivo del jueves, 8 abril 2010
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2010 Apr 08 2201 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 098 Publicado el 2200Z a las 08 Apr 2010IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 07-2100Z hasta 08-2100Z Solar activity has been very low. Region 1060 (N25E00)
produced a B3 flare at 08/0325Z with an associated EIT wave and a
earth directed full halo CME. SOHO C2 imagery observed a second CME
at 08/1030Z located along a filament channel in the northeast
quadrant of the disk. This CME is not expected to become
geoeffective.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low, with a slight chance of a C-class event.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 07-2100Z a 08-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to active levels.
Observations from the ACE spacecraft show continued influence from
the coronal hole high speed stream. Solar wind speeds have averaged
600 km/s with IMF Bz fluctuations ranging from -4/+4 nT. The
greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached
very high levels.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled for day one (09 April). Days two
and three (10-11 April) are expected to be predominately quiet, as
the high speed stream subsides.
III. Probabilidades del evento 09 Apr a 11 Apr
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 08 Apr 076 Previsto 09 Apr-11 Apr 075/075/075 Media de 90 Días 08 Apr 083
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 07 Apr 015/021 Estimado Afr/Ap 08 Apr 008/010 Previsto Afr/Ap 09 Apr-11 Apr 007/008-005/005-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 09 Apr a 11 Apr
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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