Viendo archivo del domingo, 4 abril 2010
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2010 Apr 04 2201 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 094 Publicado el 2200Z a las 04 Apr 2010IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 03-2100Z hasta 04-2100Z Solar activity was very low. No flares were observed
during the past 24 hours. New Region 1060 (N24E58) was assigned
today and appears to be a small bipolar region.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low. However, there is a chance for an isolated C-class event during
the next three days (05-07 April).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 03-2100Z a 04-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was mostly quiet to unsettled. However, there
was an isolated active period at mid-latitudes from 0600-0900Z which
was accompanied by storm level activity at some high latitude
stations. Solar wind speed observed by the ACE spacecraft were
elevated throughout the day, typically between 460-540 km/s. The
greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached
high levels during the past 24 hours.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet with a chance for unsettled periods for the
first day (05 April) and partway through the second day (06 April).
An increase to mostly unsettled levels with a chance for active
periods is expected sometime late on the second day or early on the
third day (07 April) in response to a favorably positioned coronal
hole. Yesterdays halo CME appears to be primarily directed south of
the ecliptic plane. However, it is possible that the flank of the
CME could contribute to somewhat elevated activity on the third day.
III. Probabilidades del evento 05 Apr a 07 Apr
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 04 Apr 079 Previsto 05 Apr-07 Apr 080/080/085 Media de 90 Días 04 Apr 083
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 03 Apr 005/008 Estimado Afr/Ap 04 Apr 010/010 Previsto Afr/Ap 05 Apr-07 Apr 005/007-007/010-012/012
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 05 Apr a 07 Apr
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 05% | 25% | 35% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 10% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 30% | 40% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 15% | 30% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 10% |
All times in UTC
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