Viendo archivo del miércoles, 10 marzo 2010
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2010 Mar 10 2201 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 069 Publicado el 2200Z a las 10 Mar 2010IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 09-2100Z hasta 10-2100Z Solar activity was very low. Two B-class flares
occurred during the past 24 hours. The first was estimated to be a
B3 at 0713Z from spotless plage (in the location of old Region 1046.
The x-ray flux maximum was estimated because it occurred during
GOES-14 eclipse). This event was associated with a CME from the East
limb. The second event was a B1.7 at 1534 UTC that originated from
newly emerged Region 1054 (N12E56), which is currently a small BXO
beta sunspot group. There also appeared to be emerging flux and
possible spot formation near S23W00 but observations are too
preliminary to warrant a Region number assignment.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low for the next three days (11-13 March). However, there is a
slight chance for an isolated C-class event from the newly emerging
regions if they continue to grow.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 09-2100Z a 10-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled during the past 24
hours.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet for the next three days (11-13 March).
III. Probabilidades del evento 11 Mar a 13 Mar
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 10 Mar 080 Previsto 11 Mar-13 Mar 082/082/082 Media de 90 Días 10 Mar 082
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 09 Mar 002/002 Estimado Afr/Ap 10 Mar 007/007 Previsto Afr/Ap 11 Mar-13 Mar 005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 11 Mar a 13 Mar
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 05% | 05% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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