Viendo archivo del domingo, 14 septiembre 2008
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2008 Sep 14 2201 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 258 Publicado el 2200Z a las 14 Sep 2008IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 13-2100Z hasta 14-2100Z Solar activity was very low. No flares were observed
during the past 24 hours. The visible solar disk remains spotless.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 13-2100Z a 14-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet. Solar wind speeds measured at the
ACE spacecraft indicate a gradual increase in velocity. As the
recurrent coronal hole high speed stream approaches, speeds have
increased from about 285 km/s to around 350 km/s over the last 24
hours. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit
was at high levels today.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be predominately unsettled with isolated periods of
active conditions for 15 September due to a recurrent coronal hole
high speed stream. Quiet to unsettled levels are expected for 16
September, with mostly quiet conditions expected for 17 September.
III. Probabilidades del evento 15 Sep a 17 Sep
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 14 Sep 067 Previsto 15 Sep-17 Sep 066/066/066 Media de 90 Días 14 Sep 066
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 13 Sep 000/000 Estimado Afr/Ap 14 Sep 005/010 Previsto Afr/Ap 15 Sep-17 Sep 015/015-007/008-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 15 Sep a 17 Sep
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 20% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 35% | 25% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 05% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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