Viendo archivo del martes, 25 marzo 2008
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2008 Mar 25 2203 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 085 Publicado el 2200Z a las 25 Mar 2008IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 24-2100Z hasta 25-2100Z Solar activity was moderate. New Region 989 (S10E77)
was numbered today and produced a M1/1f at 25/1856Z with an
associated 290 sfu Tenflare at 25/1851Z and a Type II radio sweep,
with a speed of 1278 km/s. LASCO imagery also observed a CME off
the East limb associated with this event which was first observed in
C2 at 25/1941Z. This region is too close to the limb to determine
its magnetic configuration. Region 987 (S08E23) and 988 (S09E47)
both remain beta groups and have grown in white light area coverage
and sunspot count.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low
to moderate. Region 989 is capable of producing an isolated M-class
event.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 24-2100Z a 25-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet. The greater than 2MeV electron flux
at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels today.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at unsettled to active levels with isolated minor
storm conditions for 26-27 March due to a recurrent coronal hole
high speed stream. Isolated major storm conditions are possible at
high latitudes during this period. Conditions should be unsettled
with isolated active levels for 28 March.
III. Probabilidades del evento 26 Mar a 28 Mar
| Clase M | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 25 Mar 089 Previsto 26 Mar-28 Mar 090/095/095 Media de 90 Días 25 Mar 072
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 24 Mar 002/004 Estimado Afr/Ap 25 Mar 005/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 26 Mar-28 Mar 020/020-020/025-015/015
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 26 Mar a 28 Mar
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 30% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 15% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 10% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 35% | 35% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 20% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 15% | 15% | 10% |
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