Viendo archivo del lunes, 24 marzo 2008
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2008 Mar 24 2203 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 084 Publicado el 2200Z a las 24 Mar 2008IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 23-2100Z hasta 24-2100Z Solar activity was at very low levels. Region 987
(S08E36) has grown in area and spot number over the summary period.
New Region 988 (S09E59) was numbered today. Both of these regions
are D-type spot groups with beta magnetic configurations. Multiple
B-class events have occurred from these regions, as well as a region
that is on the east limb.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be at
very low to low levels. There is a chance for isolated C-class
flares from Regions 987 and 988.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 23-2100Z a 24-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet levels.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at mostly quiet to unsettled levels on day one (25
March). On days two and three (26 and 27 March) an increase to
unsettled to active levels is expected due to a coronal hole high
speed stream rotating into a geoeffective position. During this
period isolated minor storm levels at middle latitudes and major
storm conditions at high latitudes are possible.
III. Probabilidades del evento 25 Mar a 27 Mar
| Clase M | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 24 Mar 079 Previsto 25 Mar-27 Mar 080/080/085 Media de 90 Días 24 Mar 072
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 23 Mar 007/008 Estimado Afr/Ap 24 Mar 003/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 25 Mar-27 Mar 010/010-020/025-020/025
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 25 Mar a 27 Mar
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 30% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 10% | 10% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 35% | 35% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 15% | 15% |
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