Viendo archivo del martes, 14 noviembre 2006
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2006 Nov 14 2203 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 318 Publicado el 2200Z a las 14 Nov 2006IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 13-2100Z hasta 14-2100Z Solar activity was very low. Region 923 (S05W05)
produced occasional B-class flares. This region maintains it's
considerable size, but has become magnetically less complex over the
past 48 hours. Magnetic field maps confirm the sunspot cluster near
the southeast limb is two separate regions. Both these regions, 924
(S08E44) and 925 (S06E52), are small with simple magnetic
configurations.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low. There is a chance for a C-class flare from Region 923.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 13-2100Z a 14-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux
at geosynchronous orbit was at high levels again today.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet on 15 November. A recurrent high speed stream
is expected to produce occasional unsettled to active periods on 16
and 17 November.
III. Probabilidades del evento 15 Nov a 17 Nov
| Clase M | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 14 Nov 095 Previsto 15 Nov-17 Nov 095/090/090 Media de 90 Días 14 Nov 079
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 13 Nov 001/002 Estimado Afr/Ap 14 Nov 002/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 15 Nov-17 Nov 005/005-008/010-010/015
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 15 Nov a 17 Nov
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 25% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 10% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 30% | 40% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 15% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 05% | 10% |
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