Viendo archivo del viernes, 22 septiembre 2006
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2006 Sep 22 2204 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 265 Publicado el 2200Z a las 22 Sep 2006IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 21-2100Z hasta 22-2100Z Solar activity was very low. Region 910 (S09E10)
produced several B-class flares this period. New opposite polarity
spots have emerged to the southeast and southwest of the single
trailer sunspot.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to continue
at very low levels. There is a slight chance for a C-class flare
from Region 910.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 21-2100Z a 22-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux
at geosynchronous orbit was at high levels again today.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to range from quiet to minor storm levels over the next
three days. A recurrent coronal hole high speed stream is expected
to rotate into a geoeffective position and produce occasional active
to minor storm periods on 23 and 24 September. Quiet to unsettled
conditions are expected on 25 September.
III. Probabilidades del evento 23 Sep a 25 Sep
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 22 Sep 072 Previsto 23 Sep-25 Sep 075/075/075 Media de 90 Días 22 Sep 078
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 21 Sep 002/004 Estimado Afr/Ap 22 Sep 002/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 23 Sep-25 Sep 015/020-010/012-008/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 23 Sep a 25 Sep
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 40% | 30% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 10% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 50% | 40% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 15% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 05% | 01% |
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