Viendo archivo del jueves, 24 agosto 2006
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2006 Aug 24 2203 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 236 Publicado el 2200Z a las 24 Aug 2006IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 23-2100Z hasta 24-2100Z Solar activity was very low. Region 905 (S08E33) is the
only sunspot group on the visible disk, and maintains a reversed
polarity magnetic configuration. This region produced no flare
activity this period; however, regular brightness fluctuations with
low B-class x-ray enhancements were observed. No other activity of
note occurred this period.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low. There is a chance for a C-class flare from Region 905.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 23-2100Z a 24-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled. The greater than 2 MeV
electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at high levels again
today.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled on 25 and 26 August. A recurrent
coronal hole high speed stream is expected to rotate into a
geoeffective position on 27 August and produce occasional active
periods.
III. Probabilidades del evento 25 Aug a 27 Aug
| Clase M | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 24 Aug 078 Previsto 25 Aug-27 Aug 080/080/080 Media de 90 Días 24 Aug 077
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 23 Aug 004/007 Estimado Afr/Ap 24 Aug 005/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 25 Aug-27 Aug 005/005-005/008-010/012
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 25 Aug a 27 Aug
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 35% | 40% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 05% |
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