Viendo archivo del miércoles, 23 agosto 2006
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2006 Aug 23 2203 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 235 Publicado el 2200Z a las 23 Aug 2006IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 22-2100Z hasta 23-2100Z Solar activity was very low. Region 905 (S08E47), the
only sunspot group on the visible disk, produced isolated B-class
flares. This active region exhibited little change this period and
maintains a reversed polarity magnetic structure.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to continue
at very low levels. There is a slight chance for a C-class flare
from Region 905.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 22-2100Z a 23-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled. Solar wind speed
declined from a maximum of near 500 km/s to end the period at 420
km/s. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit
was at high levels.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled with isolated active periods.
III. Probabilidades del evento 24 Aug a 26 Aug
| Clase M | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 23 Aug 078 Previsto 24 Aug-26 Aug 080/080/080 Media de 90 Días 23 Aug 077
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 22 Aug 017/017 Estimado Afr/Ap 23 Aug 008/008 Previsto Afr/Ap 24 Aug-26 Aug 008/008-005/008-005/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 24 Aug a 26 Aug
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 35% | 30% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
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