Viendo archivo del lunes, 21 agosto 2006
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2006 Aug 21 2204 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 233 Publicado el 2200Z a las 21 Aug 2006IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 20-2100Z hasta 21-2100Z Solar activity was low. Newly numbered Region 905
(S08E72) produced six C-class flares over the past 24 hours, the
largest of which was a C3 flare at 21/0226Z. Region 904 (S12W88)
produced two C-class flares, including a C4/Sf at 20/2102Z.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low
with a slight chance for an isolated M-class flare from Region 905.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 20-2100Z a 21-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled with a single active
period. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous
orbit reached high levels today.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled with isolated active periods on 22
August. Mostly quiet conditions are expected on 23 - 24 August.
III. Probabilidades del evento 22 Aug a 24 Aug
| Clase M | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 21 Aug 088 Previsto 22 Aug-24 Aug 090/085/085 Media de 90 Días 21 Aug 077
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 20 Aug 014/024 Estimado Afr/Ap 21 Aug 010/010 Previsto Afr/Ap 22 Aug-24 Aug 008/008-005/005-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 22 Aug a 24 Aug
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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