Viendo archivo del miércoles, 5 julio 2006
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2006 Jul 05 2203 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 186 Publicado el 2200Z a las 05 Jul 2006IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 04-2100Z hasta 05-2100Z Solar activity was low. Region 898 (S08W28) produced
one C-class event, a C1 at 05/0858Z. Region 898 has grown slightly
but has remained unchanged in magnetic complexity. A new region, 899
(S05E69), rotated into view today. A slow, narrow CME was observed
in LASCO/C2 on the southwest limb, beginning at 04/2354Z.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low
for the next three days (06-08 July).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 04-2100Z a 05-2100Z
The geomagnetic field ranged from quiet to minor storm levels during
the past 24 hours. Active to minor storm conditions prevailed from
04/2100Z to 05/0900Z. Conditions have been quiet to unsettled since
then. The enhanced activity is due to the presence of a high speed
coronal hole stream.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be unsettled to active during the next 24 hours (06
July) due to the continuing effects of the high speed coronal hole
stream. As the coronal hole stream rotates past its geoeffective
location, geomagnetic activity should decline to quiet for the last
two days of the forecast period (July 07-08). No effects are
expected from today's CME.
III. Probabilidades del evento 06 Jul a 08 Jul
| Clase M | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 05 Jul 085 Previsto 06 Jul-08 Jul 085/085/085 Media de 90 Días 05 Jul 081
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 04 Jul 011/013 Estimado Afr/Ap 05 Jul 018/020 Previsto Afr/Ap 06 Jul-08 Jul 010/015-007/008-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 06 Jul a 08 Jul
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 10% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 10% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
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