Viendo archivo del jueves, 8 junio 2006
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2006 Jun 08 2204 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 159 Publicado el 2200Z a las 08 Jun 2006IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 07-2100Z hasta 08-2100Z Solar activity was very low. Activity consisted of
several B-class flares. Region 892 (S06E15) is now classified as
beta gamma. The region is about the same size as yesterday and does
not appear to be growing at this time. Region 893 (S02E37) is
growing slowly but appears to be stable.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 07-2100Z a 08-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was unsettled to active with a period of minor
storming between 08/0300Z and 08/0900Z due to a coronal hole high
speed stream. The solar wind velocity remains elevated at 550 - 650
km/s. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux reached high levels
during the past 24 hours.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
Geomagnetic field is forecast
to be unsettled to active for the next 12 - 24 hours (09/1200Z -
09/2400Z) due to persistence of the high speed stream. Activity
levels are expected to decline to quiet to unsettled for the
remainder of the forecast interval (10 - 11 June).
III. Probabilidades del evento 09 Jun a 11 Jun
| Clase M | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 08 Jun 080 Previsto 09 Jun-11 Jun 080/080/080 Media de 90 Días 08 Jun 082
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 07 Jun 018/024 Estimado Afr/Ap 08 Jun 022/025 Previsto Afr/Ap 09 Jun-11 Jun 015/020-007/015-007/012
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 09 Jun a 11 Jun
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 40% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 40% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
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