Viendo archivo del martes, 20 diciembre 2005
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2005 Dec 20 2203 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 354 Publicado el 2200Z a las 20 Dec 2005IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 19-2100Z hasta 20-2100Z Solar activity was very low. Region 837 (S11W19)
remains the largest group on the disk with about 210 millionths
sunspot area. No new regions were numbered today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 19-2100Z a 20-2100Z
The geomagnetic field ranged from quiet to active levels. Solar wind
speed increased to about 680 km/s after 0200Z with an accompanied
increase in temperature. At time of issue, solar wind speed was
still elevated at approximately 560 km/s. These solar wind
signatures are consistent with a small coronal hole
high-speed-stream.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be mostly unsettled for the next 24 hours (21 December)
with a chance for isolated active periods. Quiet to unsettled
levels are expected for 22 and 23 December.
III. Probabilidades del evento 21 Dec a 23 Dec
| Clase M | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 20 Dec 088 Previsto 21 Dec-23 Dec 090/085/085 Media de 90 Días 20 Dec 083
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 19 Dec 006/008 Estimado Afr/Ap 20 Dec 012/015 Previsto Afr/Ap 21 Dec-23 Dec 010/010-005/008-005/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 21 Dec a 23 Dec
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 01% | 01% |
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