Viendo archivo del lunes, 19 diciembre 2005
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2005 Dec 19 2201 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 353 Publicado el 2200Z a las 19 Dec 2005IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 18-2100Z hasta 19-2100Z Solar activity was very low. Today's activity
consisted of a few B-class events from Region 837 (S10W06), which
has developed into the largest sunspot group on the disk at 200
millionths. No new regions were numbered today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 18-2100Z a 19-2100Z
The geomagnetic field ranged from quiet to active. Solar wind speed
showed an increase up to about 470 km/s after 1700Z, which was
accompanied by a southward interplanetary magnetic field. The solar
wind speed appeared to be slowly declining after 2030Z.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled during the next three days (20 -
22 December).
III. Probabilidades del evento 20 Dec a 22 Dec
| Clase M | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 19 Dec 090 Previsto 20 Dec-22 Dec 090/090/085 Media de 90 Días 19 Dec 083
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 18 Dec 002/003 Estimado Afr/Ap 19 Dec 002/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 20 Dec-22 Dec 005/008-005/008-005/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 20 Dec a 22 Dec
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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