Viendo archivo del miércoles, 30 noviembre 2005
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2005 Dec 01 0021 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 334 Publicado el 2200Z a las 30 Nov 2005IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 29-2100Z hasta 30-2100Z Solar activity increased to moderate levels today.
Region 826 (S02E36) produced an impulsive M1 x-ray flare occurring
at 30/1752Z. White-light observations in Region 826, depict a
rapid growth phase in sunspot area since yesterday. This region has
also developed in magnetic complexity, with beta-gamma
characteristics evident. New Region 827 (N08E56) was numbered today
and is currently a simply structured beta group.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be at
low to moderate levels. Region 826 is magnetically complex enough
to produce further isolated M-class flares.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 29-2100Z a 30-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at predominantly quiet to unsettled levels.
A period of active conditions occurred at middle and high latitudes
between 30/0900 and 1200Z
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at predominantly unsettled to active levels. Minor
storm conditions with a chance of high latitude major storm periods
are possible on 01 and 02 December due to a recurrent high speed
coronal hole stream. A return to predominantly quiet to unsettled
levels is expected on 03 December as the coronal moves out of
geoeffective position.
III. Probabilidades del evento 01 Dec a 03 Dec
| Clase M | 30% | 30% | 35% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 30 Nov 095 Previsto 01 Dec-03 Dec 100/105/105 Media de 90 Días 30 Nov 085
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 29 Nov 006/005 Estimado Afr/Ap 30 Nov 012/015 Previsto Afr/Ap 01 Dec-03 Dec 015/020-015/020-010/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 01 Dec a 03 Dec
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 30% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 15% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 10% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 40% | 40% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 25% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 15% | 15% | 05% |
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