Viendo archivo del jueves, 3 noviembre 2005
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2005 Nov 03 2204 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 307 Publicado el 2200Z a las 03 Nov 2005IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 02-2100Z hasta 03-2100Z Solar activity was at very low levels again today.
Region 819 (S09W14) was the source for two B-class events including
a B9 x-ray flare that occurred at 03/0446Z. This region is down to
a single AXX alpha spot. Region 818 (S08W08) became magnetically
more complex although there are fewer sunspots visible than were
observed yesterday. No new regions were numbered today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to continue
at very low levels.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 02-2100Z a 03-2100Z
The geomagnetic field ranged from unsettled to minor storm levels. A
high speed coronal hole stream is responsible for the elevated
conditions. The solar wind speed has exceeded 600 km/sec throughout
most of the period.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at predominantly unsettled to active levels. The
geoeffective coronal hole could lead to periods of isolated minor
storm conditions on 03 and 04 November. A return to quiet to
unsettled levels is expected on 05 November.
III. Probabilidades del evento 04 Nov a 06 Nov
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 03 Nov 077 Previsto 04 Nov-06 Nov 075/075/080 Media de 90 Días 03 Nov 085
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 02 Nov 005/006 Estimado Afr/Ap 03 Nov 017/020 Previsto Afr/Ap 04 Nov-06 Nov 020/020-015/020-010/012
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 04 Nov a 06 Nov
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 35% | 30% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 05% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 35% | 35% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 20% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 10% | 05% |
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