Viendo archivo del domingo, 20 noviembre 2005
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2005 Nov 20 2204 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 324 Publicado el 2200Z a las 20 Nov 2005 IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 19/2100Z to 20/2100Z: Solar activity was low. Region 822 (S08W25) produced two C-class flares. A C2.5 flare occurred at 20/0736Z, and a C1.5 flare occurred at 20/1520Z. This region continues to slowly decay. New Region 824 (S13E68) rotated onto the visible disk today.IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low
to moderate. Region 822 is capable of producing an M-class flare.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 19-2100Z a 20-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was predominantly quiet, with periods of active
conditions occurring between 19/1500Z and 19/2100Z.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels, with isolated active
periods possible on 21 November due to a solar sector boundary
crossing.
III. Probabilidades del evento 21 Nov a 23 Nov
| Clase M | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 20 Nov 096 Previsto 21 Nov-23 Nov 095/095/095 Media de 90 Días 20 Nov 085
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 19 Nov 006/010 Estimado Afr/Ap 20 Nov 007/008 Previsto Afr/Ap 21 Nov-23 Nov 012/015-008/008-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 21 Nov a 23 Nov
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 20% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 10% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 05% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 35% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 10% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 05% | 01% |
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