Viendo archivo del lunes, 3 octubre 2005
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2005 Oct 03 2208 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 276 Publicado el 2200Z a las 03 Oct 2005IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 02-2100Z hasta 03-2100Z Solar activity levels were very low again this period.
Old active Region 808 is rotating on the southeast limb near S10.
This was a very active region during its last passage across the
visible disk; however, there has been no significant eruptive
activity observed over the past few days.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low. C-class activity is possible from old Region 808 as it
rotates into view on 04 October. There is also a slight chance for
an M-class flare.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 02-2100Z a 03-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled. The greater than 2 MeV
electrons at geosynchronous orbit were at high levels today.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to continue at quiet to unsettled levels with isolated
active periods.
III. Probabilidades del evento 04 Oct a 06 Oct
| Clase M | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 05% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 03 Oct 074 Previsto 04 Oct-06 Oct 080/085/085 Media de 90 Días 03 Oct 090
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 02 Oct 008/013 Estimado Afr/Ap 03 Oct 008/007 Previsto Afr/Ap 04 Oct-06 Oct 008/007-008/007-008/012
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 04 Oct a 06 Oct
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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