Viendo archivo del sábado, 6 agosto 2005
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2005 Aug 06 2204 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 218 Publicado el 2200Z a las 06 Aug 2005IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 05-2100Z hasta 06-2100Z Solar activity was low. Region 794 (S12W10) produced a
C1.1 flare at 05/2044 UTC. Region 792 (N10W41) has decayed into a
Cso group. Region 795 (N12E00) has developed into a Cso Beta group.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 05-2100Z a 06-2100Z
The geomagnetic field ranged from unsettled to minor storm levels.
Minor storming was observed at high latitudes between 06/0000 - 1200
UTC. Solar wind data indicate the onset of a coronal hole high
speed stream beginning about 05/2200. The solar wind speed remains
elevated at approximately 550 km/s. The greater than 2 MeV electron
flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels today.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at unsettled to active levels with a chance for minor
storm conditions for the next three days (07-09 August).
III. Probabilidades del evento 07 Aug a 09 Aug
| Clase M | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 06 Aug 093 Previsto 07 Aug-09 Aug 095/095/095 Media de 90 Días 06 Aug 096
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 05 Aug 006/009 Estimado Afr/Ap 06 Aug 022/030 Previsto Afr/Ap 07 Aug-09 Aug 012/015-010/012-010/015
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 07 Aug a 09 Aug
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 25% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 10% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 05% | 10% |
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