Viendo archivo del viernes, 22 abril 2005
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2005 Apr 22 2210 UTC# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, #Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force. #
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 112 Publicado el 2200Z a las 22 Apr 2005IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 21-2100Z hasta 22-2100Z Solar activity continues at very low levels. A new
region rotating around the east limb at S05 may have been the source
of a CME observed off the southeast limb at around 22/0630Z. The few
sunspot groups on the visible disk are small and stable, and
exhibited no significant changes or activity this period.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low. A new region rotating around the east limb at S05 may
elevate activity levels slightly on 24 and 25 April.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 21-2100Z a 22-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled with occasional active periods. A
weak disturbance is expected on 22 and 23 April as a recurrent
coronal hole high speed stream rotates into a geoeffective position.
III. Probabilidades del evento 23 Apr a 25 Apr
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 22 Apr 077 Previsto 23 Apr-25 Apr 080/085/085 Media de 90 Días 22 Apr 091
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 21 Apr 002/004 Estimado Afr/Ap 22 Apr 008/012 Previsto Afr/Ap 23 Apr-25 Apr 015/020-010/020-005/012
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 23 Apr a 25 Apr
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 25% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 10% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 40% | 35% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 15% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 05% | 01% |
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