Viendo archivo del viernes, 15 abril 2005
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2005 Apr 15 2210 UTC# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, #Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force. #
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 105 Publicado el 2200Z a las 15 Apr 2005IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 14-2100Z hasta 15-2100Z Solar activity was at very low levels. All of the
regions on the disk were quiescent over the period. The GOES x-ray
flux at geosynchronous orbit remained below the B-level for the
entire interval. No new regions were numbered today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be at
very low levels.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 14-2100Z a 15-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was predominantly at quiet to unsettled levels.
A brief active period occurred in the middle and high latitudes
between 15/0300 and 0600Z. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at
geosynchronous orbit reached high levels today.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels throughout the period.
III. Probabilidades del evento 16 Apr a 18 Apr
| Clase M | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 15 Apr 085 Previsto 16 Apr-18 Apr 085/085/085 Media de 90 Días 15 Apr 094
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 14 Apr 014/019 Estimado Afr/Ap 15 Apr 008/011 Previsto Afr/Ap 16 Apr-18 Apr 005/008-005/008-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 16 Apr a 18 Apr
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 02% | 02% | 02% |
All times in UTC
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