Viendo archivo del lunes, 28 marzo 2005

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2005 Mar 28 2210 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, #Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force. #

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 087 Publicado el 2200Z a las 28 Mar 2005 IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 27/2100Z to 28/2100Z: Solar activity was very low again today. Region 745 (N12W39), the only sunspot group on the visible disk, is in slow decay. A CME observed off the southeast limb at around 28/1900Z was likely backsided. No other significant activity was observed on the solar disk or limb.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to continue at very low levels.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 27-2100Z a 28-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet. The high speed coronal hole wind stream continues to subside. Solar wind speed ended the period at just under 500 km/s. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at high levels again today.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet with occasional unsettled periods over the next three days.
III. Probabilidades del evento 29 Mar a 31 Mar
Clase M01%01%01%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFGreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       28 Mar 080
  Previsto   29 Mar-31 Mar  080/080/080
  Media de 90 Días        28 Mar 096
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 27 Mar  008/013
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 28 Mar  005/005
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 29 Mar-31 Mar  005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 29 Mar a 31 Mar
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo15%15%15%
Tormenta Menor05%05%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo20%20%20%
Tormenta Menor05%05%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%

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