Viendo archivo del jueves, 3 marzo 2005
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2005 Mar 03 2210 UTC# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, #Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force. #
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 062 Publicado el 2200Z a las 03 Mar 2005IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 02-2100Z hasta 03-2100Z Solar activity was at very low levels today. The
largest flare of the period was a low level B-class flare that was
observed on the solar northeast limb and occurred at 03/1504Z. A
reemergence of sunspots was observed in Region 739 (S03W16) during
the period, with a single umbra visible in each polarity. Region
740 (S07W37) underwent decay in sunspot area. No new regions were
numbered today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be at
very low levels.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 02-2100Z a 03-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet levels. The greater than 2 MeV
electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels today.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at quiet levels through 4 and 5 March. Isolated
active conditions are expected late on 6 March due to a recurrent
coronal hole high speed stream.
III. Probabilidades del evento 04 Mar a 06 Mar
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 03 Mar 077 Previsto 04 Mar-06 Mar 080/080/085 Media de 90 Días 03 Mar 097
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 02 Mar 008/012 Estimado Afr/Ap 03 Mar 003/006 Previsto Afr/Ap 04 Mar-06 Mar 004/005-004/005-012/015
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 04 Mar a 06 Mar
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 05% |
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