Viendo archivo del domingo, 28 noviembre 2004
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2004 Nov 28 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 333 Publicado el 2200Z a las 28 Nov 2004IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 27-2100Z hasta 28-2100Z Solar activity was very low. All four spotted regions
on the disk were quiet and stable. Region 708 (N10E56) is showing
slow growth.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low for the next three days (29 November - 01 December).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 27-2100Z a 28-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was mostly quiet to unsettled. There was a
period of minor storm level activity from 0600-0900 UTC due to a
substorm that appeared to be triggered by a northward turning of the
IMF after a sustained interval of weakly southward orientation.
Solar wind data show the onset of a solar sector boundary from
positive to negative orientation at about 1500 UTC. The greater than
2 MeV electron fluxes attained high levels during the past 24 hours.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be mostly unsettled with a chance for some isolated
active periods during the next three days (29 November - 01
December). The influence of a favorably positioned coronal hole are
expected to begin late on 01 December.
III. Probabilidades del evento 29 Nov a 01 Dec
| Clase M | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 28 Nov 113 Previsto 29 Nov-01 Dec 110/110/110 Media de 90 Días 28 Nov 107
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 27 Nov 010/010 Estimado Afr/Ap 28 Nov 012/015 Previsto Afr/Ap 29 Nov-01 Dec 010/010-010/010-012/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 29 Nov a 01 Dec
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
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