Viendo archivo del sábado, 27 noviembre 2004
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2004 Nov 27 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 332 Publicado el 2200Z a las 27 Nov 2004IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 26-2100Z hasta 27-2100Z Solar activity was low. There were two C-class flares
during the past 24 hours, a C2 at 0204 UTC from Region 707 (S16E27)
and a C1.5/Sf at 0516 UTC from Region 706 (S07E31). Of the four
spotted regions on the disk, only Region 707 is growing. The rate of
growth in 707 is slow, but the group has some magnetic mixing and is
a beta-gamma magnetic class.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 26-2100Z a 27-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled. The greater than 2 MeV
electron flux reached high levels during the past 24 hours.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be mostly quiet for the next 24 hours (through 28
November) and is expected to be quiet to unsettled for 29-30
November.
III. Probabilidades del evento 28 Nov a 30 Nov
| Clase M | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 27 Nov 110 Previsto 28 Nov-30 Nov 110/110/110 Media de 90 Días 27 Nov 107
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 26 Nov 016/013 Estimado Afr/Ap 27 Nov 010/010 Previsto Afr/Ap 28 Nov-30 Nov 005/005-005/008-005/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 28 Nov a 30 Nov
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
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