Viendo archivo del miércoles, 8 septiembre 2004
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2004 Sep 08 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 252 Publicado el 2200Z a las 08 Sep 2004IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 07-2100Z hasta 08-2100Z Solar activity has been low. A C1.5 flare occurred at
0110 UTC and was observed by SXI on the east limb at N05. A C1.0
flare was observed at 2002 UTC from Region 669 (S05W09). Region 669
also produced a B9.0 at 0349 UTC and a B9.7 at 1458 UTC. A 20
degree filament disappeared from N01W35 between 1324 UTC and 1519
UTC, but there was no obvious CME that could be associated.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low.
There is a slight chance for an isolated M class flare.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 07-2100Z a 08-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been quiet to unsettled with an isolated
active period from 0600 to 0900 UTC. Solar wind data from ACE has
indicated a decrease in solar wind speed during the past 24 hours
from approximately 440 km/s to 380 km/s.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled for the next three days (09-11
September).
III. Probabilidades del evento 09 Sep a 11 Sep
| Clase M | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 08 Sep 125 Previsto 09 Sep-11 Sep 130/135/140 Media de 90 Días 08 Sep 111
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 07 Sep 011/016 Estimado Afr/Ap 08 Sep 008/010 Previsto Afr/Ap 09 Sep-11 Sep 006/010-006/008-006/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 09 Sep a 11 Sep
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
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