Viendo archivo del martes, 7 septiembre 2004
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2004 Sep 07 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 251 Publicado el 2200Z a las 07 Sep 2004IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 06-2100Z hasta 07-2100Z Solar activity was low. A C1.1 flare occurred at 0738
UTC from Region 669 (S06E06). A long duration C2.8 flare occurred
with a maximum at 1529 UTC. The source was observed in SXI on the
East limb at N04, apparently associated with a region behind the
visible disk. A backsided partial halo CME was associated with this
flare. Region 671 (S11W42) has grown in area but has not produced
any flares in the past 24 hours.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low
with a slight chance for isolated M-Class flares. Background levels
are expected to gradually increase due to a region rotating onto the
visible disk.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 06-2100Z a 07-2100Z
The geomagnetic field ranged from quiet to active levels. Solar wind
data has indicated the presence of a coronal hole stream with
velocities ranging from 410-470 km/s.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be mostly unsettled for the next three days (08-10
September). There is a slight chance of some persistent active
levels during the next 24 hours.
III. Probabilidades del evento 08 Sep a 10 Sep
| Clase M | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 07 Sep 119 Previsto 08 Sep-10 Sep 125/130/135 Media de 90 Días 07 Sep 110
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 06 Sep 009/014 Estimado Afr/Ap 07 Sep 016/017 Previsto Afr/Ap 08 Sep-10 Sep 010/010-008/010-006/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 08 Sep a 10 Sep
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 30% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 15% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
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