Viendo archivo del jueves, 26 agosto 2004

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2004 Aug 26 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 239 Publicado el 2200Z a las 26 Aug 2004

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 25-2100Z hasta 26-2100Z

Solar activity remained at low levels today. Region 663 (N10W14) produced the largest flare during the period, a C1 x-ray flare that occurred at 26/0219Z. No significant changes were observed in the two visible spotted Regions 663 and 664 (S11W42) in magnetic complexity or spot area during the period. Spray was observed at N01W90 from 26/0034Z to 26/0103Z and is believed to be from Region 661 (N06, L=348) which rotated off the solar west limb today. No new regions were numbered today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be at very low to low levels today.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 25-2100Z a 26-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to unsettled levels today. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels today.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels throughout the period.
III. Probabilidades del evento 27 Aug a 29 Aug
Clase M05%05%05%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFGreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       26 Aug 098
  Previsto   27 Aug-29 Aug  095/095/090
  Media de 90 Días        26 Aug 110
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 25 Aug  003/007
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 26 Aug  004/007
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 27 Aug-29 Aug  006/008-006/008-004/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 27 Aug a 29 Aug
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo15%15%10%
Tormenta Menor01%01%01%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo15%15%15%
Tormenta Menor05%05%01%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
COMMENTS: The ACE spacecraft orbit will bring ACE to its closest approach with the Sun on August 30, 2004. During that time possible solar radio noise may interfere with spacecraft telemetry resulting in the loss of real time solar wind plasma, magnetic field, and particle data.

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