Viendo archivo del domingo, 22 agosto 2004
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2004 Aug 22 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 235 Publicado el 2200Z a las 22 Aug 2004IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 21-2100Z hasta 22-2100Z Solar activity continues to be very low. Minor B-class
activity was observed in Region 661 (N06W47). This region, which
still maintains over 400 millionths of white light area coverage, is
in a slow decay phase. With the exception of Region 665 (N04W15),
which was numbered today, all active regions were stable or in
decay.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low. There is a small chance of a C-class flare.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 21-2100Z a 22-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to active with isolated minor storm
periods. The disturbed periods are due to a slightly elevated solar
wind speed and a predominantly southward IMF Bz. The greater than 2
MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at high levels.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to active with isolated minor storm periods at
high latitudes.
III. Probabilidades del evento 23 Aug a 25 Aug
| Clase M | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 22 Aug 115 Previsto 23 Aug-25 Aug 115/115/110 Media de 90 Días 22 Aug 110
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 21 Aug 014/017 Estimado Afr/Ap 22 Aug 015/015 Previsto Afr/Ap 23 Aug-25 Aug 012/015-012/015-010/012
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 23 Aug a 25 Aug
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 25% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 35% | 35% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 15% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 01% |
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