Viendo archivo del jueves, 6 mayo 2004
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2004 May 06 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 127 Publicado el 2200Z a las 06 May 2004IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 05-2100Z hasta 06-2100Z Solar activity was very low. Region 605 (S11W30) now
exhibits a simple beta configuration having decayed in both size
and magnetic complexity. Region 604 (S19E10), the only other sunspot
group on the visible disk, was quiet.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 05-2100Z a 06-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled. The high speed solar
wind stream that became geoeffective yesterday remains in effect.
Solar wind speed was approximately 550 km/s, but IMF Bz was
predominantly northward.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled. The high speed coronal hole
stream in progress now may produce isolated active periods through
07 May.
III. Probabilidades del evento 07 May a 09 May
| Clase M | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 06 May 086 Previsto 07 May-09 May 085/090/095 Media de 90 Días 06 May 106
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 05 May 012/013 Estimado Afr/Ap 06 May 010/010 Previsto Afr/Ap 07 May-09 May 008/010-005/008-005/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 07 May a 09 May
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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