Viendo archivo del viernes, 30 enero 2004
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2004 Jan 30 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 030 Publicado el 2200Z a las 30 Jan 2004IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 29-2100Z hasta 30-2100Z Solar activity was low. Several small B and C-class
x-ray flares have occurred from an unnumbered region just beyond the
east limb near NE13. No spots are yet visible but enhancements in
GOES SXI images mark the location where the region is expected to
rotate into view. New Region 547 (S09E14) emerged on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low.
Additional small flares are expected from the new region rotating
around the east limb at NE13.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 29-2100Z a 30-2100Z
The geomagnetic field ranged from quiet to minor storm levels. Solar
wind information from the NASA ACE spacecraft suggest that the
geomagnetic field is under the influence of a high-speed coronal
hole stream.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be unsettled to active with isolated minor storm
periods.
III. Probabilidades del evento 31 Jan a 02 Feb
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 30 Jan 093 Previsto 31 Jan-02 Feb 095/100/105 Media de 90 Días 30 Jan 123
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 29 Jan 008/010 Estimado Afr/Ap 30 Jan 015/019 Previsto Afr/Ap 31 Jan-02 Feb 015/020-015/020-015/020
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 31 Jan a 02 Feb
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 10% | 10% |
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