Viendo archivo del martes, 13 enero 2004
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2004 Jan 13 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 013 Publicado el 2200Z a las 13 Jan 2004IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 12-2100Z hasta 13-2100Z Solar activity was at low levels. Region 536 (S12W18)
produced several low level C-class flares during the period.
Penumbral coverage continues to decrease as this region begins to
exit the west solar limb. Region 537 (N05W16) produced a C1/Sf
flare at 0609Z. The beta-gamma/delta magnetic structure remains
intact. Region 540 (S11E68) continues to rotate into view from the
solar east limb. A trailing cluster of spots became visible late in
the period and detailed analysis is still pending further rotation
of the region onto the disk. No new regions were numbered today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be at
low to moderate levels.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 12-2100Z a 13-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to minor storm levels. The
elevated conditions are believed to be due to a transient passage
that occurred at the ACE spacecraft near 0900Z. The M-class
activity from early on 09 January may have been the source for this
event. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit
reached high levels today.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at quiet to active levels throughout the period.
III. Probabilidades del evento 14 Jan a 16 Jan
| Clase M | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Clase X | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Protón | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 13 Jan 118 Previsto 14 Jan-16 Jan 125/130/135 Media de 90 Días 13 Jan 137
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 12 Jan 005/010 Estimado Afr/Ap 13 Jan 015/015 Previsto Afr/Ap 14 Jan-16 Jan 008/010-010/012-008/012
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 14 Jan a 16 Jan
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 25% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 30% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 05% | 05% |
< < Ir a la visión general diaria
Últimas noticias
lunes, 6 mayo 2024
X4.5 solar flare
sábado, 4 mayo 2024
Sunspot region 3663, X1 solar flare
lunes, 22 abril 2024
Lot's of sunspots! Big chance for major flare activity?
Últimos mensajes del foro
AR3664 190[CME] AR 13664, X1.04, 2024-05-08 10Unproven theories 385Incoming Active Regions 239AR3663 248
Más temasApoye a SpaceWeatherLive.com!
Mucha gente viene a SpaceWeatherLive para seguir la actividad del Sol o previsión de aurora, pero con esta cantidad de tráfico se incrementan los costos del servidor. ¡Considere hacer una donación si disfruta de SpaceWeatherLive para que podamos mantener el sitio web en línea!
Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 2024/05/08 | X1.0 |
| Último evento clase M | 2024/05/08 | M8.5 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 2024/05/06 | Kp5 (G1) |
| Días sin manchas | |
|---|---|
| Último día sin manchas | 2022/06/08 |
| Promedio de manchas solares mensuales | |
|---|---|
| abril 2024 | 136.5 +31.6 |
| Last 30 days | 161.2 +69.2 |