Viendo archivo del viernes, 25 julio 2003
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2003 Jul 25 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 206 Publicado el 2200Z a las 25 Jul 2003IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 24-2100Z hasta 25-2100Z Solar activity has been low. The only event of the
period was a long duration C1 flare observed at 25/1719 UTC. This
event was not correlated optically, however, activity near the east
limb may be a possible source. All regions on the visible disk are
currently stable or showing decay.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 24-2100Z a 25-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to active levels.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled with isolated active periods for
26 July. A recurrent coronal hole should influence activity on 27
and 28 July. Conditions are expected to be at unsettled to active
levels with isolated periods of minor storm conditions possible.
III. Probabilidades del evento 26 Jul a 28 Jul
| Clase M | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 25 Jul 112 Previsto 26 Jul-28 Jul 110/110/120 Media de 90 Días 25 Jul 127
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 24 Jul 006/010 Estimado Afr/Ap 25 Jul 012/015 Previsto Afr/Ap 26 Jul-28 Jul 015/015-015/020-020/030
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 26 Jul a 28 Jul
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 25% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 35% | 45% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 15% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 15% |
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