Viendo archivo del lunes, 9 diciembre 2002

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2002 Dec 09 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 343 Publicado el 2200Z a las 09 Dec 2002

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 08-2100Z hasta 09-2100Z

Solar activity was at low levels. A few minor C-class flares were observed today. The largest event of the period was a C2.5/Sf flare with an associated eruptive prominence on the east limb from newly numbered Region 220 (S12E47). Available data suggests that there may have been some interaction from Region 218 (S20E55) during this event. Region 214 (N13W83) has begun to quietly exit the west limb. Regions 219 (S05W25) and 221 (N22E61) were also assigned today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to remain at low levels. C-class activity continues to be likely from Region 220.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 08-2100Z a 09-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to unsettled levels. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit briefly reached moderate levels today.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to remain at quiet to unsettled levels throughout the forecast period.
III. Probabilidades del evento 10 Dec a 12 Dec
Clase M25%25%25%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       09 Dec 156
  Previsto   10 Dec-12 Dec  160/160/165
  Media de 90 Días        09 Dec 167
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 08 Dec  008/012
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 09 Dec  006/010
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 10 Dec-12 Dec  006/010-006/010-006/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 10 Dec a 12 Dec
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo15%15%15%
Tormenta Menor01%01%01%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo20%20%20%
Tormenta Menor05%05%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%

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