Viendo archivo del lunes, 2 septiembre 2002
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2002 Sep 02 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 245 Publicado el 2200Z a las 02 Sep 2002IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 01-2100Z hasta 02-2100Z Solar activity was at low levels. The largest event
was an optically uncorrelated C2.3 at 02/0248 UTC. An optically
uncorrelated C2.0 flare with an associated Type II radio sweep (773
km/s) occurred at 02/0008 UTC. Region 95 (N08E24) has grown in area
coverage to 840 millionths and a spot count to 53. However, Region
95 retains it's beta-gamma magnetic classification. Region 97
(N13E08) has also shown significant growth in area and spot count in
the last 24-hour. One new region was numbered today, Region 102
(N09E65).
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low
to moderate. Region 95 and 97 have M-class potential.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 01-2100Z a 02-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to active levels. An isolate
active period was observed at 02/1200 UTC due to a 6 hour period of
negative Bz.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled. Effects from a small southern
coronal hole may begin on day three of the forcast period.
III. Probabilidades del evento 03 Sep a 05 Sep
| Clase M | 50% | 50% | 40% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 01% |
| Protón | 05% | 05% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 02 Sep 174 Previsto 03 Sep-05 Sep 175/170/165 Media de 90 Días 02 Sep 169
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 01 Sep 013/013 Estimado Afr/Ap 02 Sep 010/012 Previsto Afr/Ap 03 Sep-05 Sep 010/010-008/010-010/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 03 Sep a 05 Sep
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
< < Ir a la visión general diaria
Últimas noticias
lunes, 13 mayo 2024
M6.6 solar flare with earth-directed CME
domingo, 12 mayo 2024
Small CME impact, Record visitor amount
sábado, 11 mayo 2024
Strongest geomagnetic storm since 2003, X5.8 solar flare
Últimos mensajes del foro
Could Cycle 25 be categorized as "historical"? 9AR 3676 23May 2024 Geomagnetic Storms from AR 13664 (2) 280Latest SC25 Predictions 125AR3664 855
Más temasApoye a SpaceWeatherLive.com!
Mucha gente viene a SpaceWeatherLive para seguir la actividad del Sol o previsión de aurora, pero con esta cantidad de tráfico se incrementan los costos del servidor. ¡Considere hacer una donación si disfruta de SpaceWeatherLive para que podamos mantener el sitio web en línea!
Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 2024/05/12 | X1.02 |
| Último evento clase M | 2024/05/13 | M1.0 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 2024/05/12 | Kp7 (G3) |
| Días sin manchas | |
|---|---|
| Último día sin manchas | 2022/06/08 |
| Promedio de manchas solares mensuales | |
|---|---|
| abril 2024 | 136.5 +31.6 |
| mayo 2024 | 144.3 +7.8 |
| Last 30 days | 175.2 +82.9 |