Viendo archivo del jueves, 13 junio 2002

Informe actividad solar

Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2002 Jun 13 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 164 Publicado el 2200Z a las 13 Jun 2002

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 12-2100Z hasta 13-2100Z

IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar

IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 12-2100Z a 13-2100Z

IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica

III. Probabilidades del evento 14 Jun a 16 Jun

Clase M	20%	20%	20%
Clase X	01%	01%	01%
Protón	01%	01%	01%
PCAF	green

IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo

  Observado       13 Jun 133
  Previsto   14 Jun-16 Jun  135/140/145
  Media de 90 Días        13 Jun 179

V. Índices Geomagnéticos A

  Observado Afr/Ap 12 Jun  006/010
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 13 Jun  006/010
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 14 Jun-16 Jun  006/008-010/010-008/008

VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 14 Jun a 16 Jun

A. Latitudes Medias
Activo	10%	20%	15%
Tormenta Menor	01%	10%	05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa	01%	01%	01%

B. Latitudes Altas
Activo	15%	25%	20%
Tormenta Menor	05%	10%	05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa	01%	01%	01%

PLAIN: This message is for users of the NOAA/SEC Space Weather Operations sunspot region numbers. As you may have noticed, we are steadily approaching region number 10000. The plan for Space Weather operations is to go through the sequence of Region numbers as 9998, 9999, 0000, 0001, and so on. SEC's product text discussions of the active regions will ignore the leading zeroes (for example, we will say 'Region number 5' rather than Region number '0005'). However, the Geoalert product, the Region Report product, as well as the USAF and IUWDS data exchange codes will preserve the 4 digit format. The necessity of using four digits is for operational purposes only. For historical purposes all regions beyond Region 9999 will be understood to be in a series of regions numbers 10000 and higher.

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