Viendo archivo del miércoles, 12 junio 2002
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2002 Jun 12 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.comInforme conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 163 Publicado el 2200Z a las 12 Jun 2002
IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 11-2100Z hasta 12-2100Z
Solar activity was at low levels. Optically verified
using EIT imagery, Region 9987 (S15W56) produced a C1 x-ray flare at
12/0903 UTC. This region underwent slight decay today. Less
penumbral coverage seen in trailing cluster of spots, although
region continues to exhibit beta-gamma magnetic characteristics.
Region 9991 (S22E04) showed slight growth in penumbral coverage
during the period. Other than occasional point brightening and
minor dark surging, this region was stable through the period. A
Type II radio sweep with an estimated shock velocity of 450 km/s
occurred at 12/0145 UTC. Source region of the sweep is believed to
have originated from beyond the northeast limb of the visible disk.
Regions 9996 (S27E46), 9997 (N08E73), and 9998 (N15E74) were
numbered today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be at
low levels. Region 9987 remains capable of producing an isolated
low level M-class flare.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 11-2100Z a 12-2100Z
The geomagnetic field activity was at quiet to unsettled levels.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field activity
is expected to continue at quiet to unsettled levels. Day three of
the forecast period may experience isolated active conditions in
response to a southern hemispheric high speed stream coronal hole
becoming favorably positioned.
III. Probabilidades del evento 13 Jun a 15 Jun
Clase M | 25% | 25% | 25% |
Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
PCAF | green
|
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 12 Jun 142
Previsto 13 Jun-15 Jun 145/145/155
Media de 90 Días 12 Jun 180
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 11 Jun 007/012
Estimado Afr/Ap 12 Jun 005/010
Previsto Afr/Ap 13 Jun-15 Jun 005/008-006/008-010/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 13 Jun a 15 Jun
A. Latitudes Medias |
Activo | 10% | 10% | 20% |
Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 10% |
Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
B. Latitudes Altas |
Activo | 15% | 15% | 25% |
Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 10% |
Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
PLAIN
This message is for users of the NOAA/SEC Space
Weather Operations sunspot region numbers. As you
may have noticed, we are steadily approaching
region number 10000. The plan for Space Weather
operations is to go through the sequence of Region
numbers as 9998, 9999, 0000, 0001, and so on. SEC's
product text discussions of the active regions
will ignore the leading zeroes (for example, we
will say 'Region number 5' rather than Region
number '0005'). However, the Geoalert product, the
Region Report product, as well as the USAF and IUWDS
data exchange codes will preserve the 4 digit format.
The necessity of using four digits is for operational
purposes only. For historical purposes all regions
beyond Region 9999 will be understood to be in a
series of regions numbers 10000 and higher.
< < Ir a la visión general diaria