Viendo archivo del miércoles, 29 mayo 2002
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2002 May 29 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 149 Publicado el 2200Z a las 29 May 2002IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 28-2100Z hasta 29-2100Z Solar activity was at low levels. The largest event
was an optically uncorrelated long duration C8 flare at 29/0246 UTC.
Region 9972 (S21E44) produced a C8/Sf at 29/0519 UTC and has shown
slight growth. Region 9961 (S21W59) has simplified in magnetic
complexity while Region 9963 (N16W43) has remained relatively
unchanged since yesterday. Region 9973 (S16E61) has developed a
beta-gamma magnetic configuration and a 960 millionths area
coverage. Two new regions were numbered today: Region 9974
(N18E58) and Region 9975 (N23E63).
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low
to moderate. Region 9963 has the potential for low level M-class
activity. Region 9973 has the potential for low level M-class
activity and a slight chance of producing a major event.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 28-2100Z a 29-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to unsettled levels.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled.
III. Probabilidades del evento 30 May a 01 Jun
| Clase M | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 29 May 185 Previsto 30 May-01 Jun 185/190/190 Media de 90 Días 29 May 183
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 28 May 008/012 Estimado Afr/Ap 29 May 008/012 Previsto Afr/Ap 30 May-01 Jun 008/015-008/010-005/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 30 May a 01 Jun
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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