Viendo archivo del miércoles, 27 marzo 2002
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2002 Mar 27 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 086 Publicado el 2200Z a las 27 Mar 2002IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 26-2100Z hasta 27-2100Z Solar activity was low. Region 9880 (N08W50) produced
the largest event of the period - a C3 flare at 27/1302Z. This
Beta-Gamma region increased in size and complexity with considerable
new flux emergence in the past 24 hours. Region 9878 (N10W13)
produced minor C-class flares and maintains a Delta configuration in
its trailing sunspots. New Regions 9884 (S18E38) and 9885 (N11E69)
were numbered today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low
to moderate. Regions 9878 and 9880 have potential to produce an
isolated M-class flare.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 26-2100Z a 27-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled with isolated, high
latitude active conditions early in the period. The coronal hole,
high speed stream which began early yesterday has gradually
decreased.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to continue at quiet to unsettled levels.
III. Probabilidades del evento 28 Mar a 30 Mar
| Clase M | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 27 Mar 169 Previsto 28 Mar-30 Mar 165/165/160 Media de 90 Días 27 Mar 207
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 26 Mar 010/011 Estimado Afr/Ap 27 Mar 008/007 Previsto Afr/Ap 28 Mar-30 Mar 008/008-005/008-008/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 28 Mar a 30 Mar
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 15% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 20% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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