Viendo archivo del martes, 13 noviembre 2001
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2001 Nov 13 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 317 Publicado el 2200Z a las 13 Nov 2001IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 12-2100Z hasta 13-2100Z Solar activity was moderate. Region 9690 (S18W34)
produced an impulsive M1/Sn flare at 13/0626Z and a long duration
C7/Sf flare at 13/1925Z. This region remains the largest and most
active region on the visible disk with white light area coverage
exceeding 1000 millionths. Some decay was observed over the past
24-36 hours with the delta configuration no longer obvious, but the
region still retains significant magnetic complexity and size. New
regions 9700 (S25W08) and 9701 (S33W03) were numbered today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be
moderate. Region 9690 will likely continue to produce C-class and
M-class flares and still has potential to produce an isolated major
flare.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 12-2100Z a 13-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled.
III. Probabilidades del evento 14 Nov a 16 Nov
| Clase M | 80% | 80% | 80% |
| Clase X | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Protón | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| PCAF | yellow | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 13 Nov 232 Previsto 14 Nov-16 Nov 220/220/220 Media de 90 Días 13 Nov 215
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 12 Nov 001/002 Estimado Afr/Ap 13 Nov 005/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 14 Nov-16 Nov 008/008-010/010-010/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 14 Nov a 16 Nov
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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