Viendo archivo del miércoles, 5 septiembre 2001
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2001 Sep 05 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 248 Publicado el 2200Z a las 05 Sep 2001IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 04-2100Z hasta 05-2100Z Solar activity was high. Region 9601 (N13W38) produced
an M6/2b flare at 05/1432Z. Moderate centimetric radio bursts
including a 770 sfu Tenflare accompanied this event. This region
was also responsible for an M3/1n flare at 04/2159Z. Region 9606
(S17E32) produced an M1/1n at 05/1913Z. New Region 9608 (S24E70) was
numbered today. Limb proximity hinders a detailed analysis of this
region, but space based imagery indicates significant complexity
exists.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to continue
at moderate to high levels. Regions 9601 and 9608 will likely
produce C and M class flares. An isolated major flare is possible
from either region.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 04-2100Z a 05-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to remain at quiet to unsettled levels.
III. Probabilidades del evento 06 Sep a 08 Sep
| Clase M | 75% | 75% | 75% |
| Clase X | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Protón | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| PCAF | yellow | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 05 Sep 218 Previsto 06 Sep-08 Sep 215/215/215 Media de 90 Días 05 Sep 159
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 04 Sep 011/020 Estimado Afr/Ap 05 Sep 010/010 Previsto Afr/Ap 06 Sep-08 Sep 010/010-010/010-010/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 06 Sep a 08 Sep
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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